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The S&P 500 is close to market peak based on how many ‘bear market signposts’ it’s hitting, BofA says: a whopping 60%

Bank of America Research has issued a fresh warning for equity investors: the S&P 500, now hovering near historic highs, is demonstrating elevated risk levels with 60% of the firm’s proprietary “bear market signposts” flashing red—just shy of the point that has historically heralded a market peak. The bank’s S&P 500 Relative Value Cheat Sheet, … Read more

‘Risk of correction elevated’: BofA rings alarm bells on gold as price nears $4,000 an ounce

Gold has been on a tear recently, notching several record highs as investors and central banks seek a safe haven amid a business climate full of uncertainty, most recently nearing the $4,000 mark. As Fortune has reported, Goldman Sachs is still bullish, calling for gold to hit $4,300 an ounce by late 2026, while UBS’ … Read more

You’ve heard that gold is hitting record highs. Not quite, BofA says

Gold prices have indeed soared to all-time highs in 2025, prompting headlines about a historic rally. But according to Bank of America (BofA) Global Research, the story is more nuanced: The gold sector, while booming, hasn’t returned to all of the metrics that defined previous cyclical peaks, especially regarding its value relative to the broader … Read more

Streaming has Americans more glued to their screens than ever, but it could all come crashing down in the case of a ‘content recession,’ BofA says

Americans are watching more television than ever, but the screen they turn to increasingly isn’t wired for cable. According to Bank of America Institute, streaming platforms officially overtook traditional “linear” television in viewership share this spring, marking a historic shift in how people spend their downtime. It’s almost as large as linear TV and radio … Read more

‘Job huggers’ sense trouble brewing in the jobs market as BofA flags wage growth stalling for switchers for the first time since 2010

The job-hopper and the job-hugger: Two distinct species, with one going into hibernation as the other emerges. Bank of America’s latest research shows that the era of the job-hopper—once the defining labor market species during the pandemic’s Great Resignation—is quickly vanishing. The job-hopper’s day was 2022, BofA finds, and even though it doesn’t use the … Read more

Subdued FX volatility in August is unusual: BofA analysts

Good morning. Foreign exchange (FX) management has become a top priority for many CFOs with global currency markets in flux. In a note sent to clients, BofA Global Research said the FX market has been unusually calm in August—an uncommon occurrence, even during typically quiet “summer markets.” Analysts link this subdued volatility to stable rate … Read more

The ‘Ghosts of 2007’ and the graybeard ‘Nifty 50’: BofA looks at the rare situation in markets and finds ominous parallels to the GFC and the dotcom bubble

The U.S. Federal Reserve’s looming decision on whether to cut interest rates in September 2025 is sparking heightened concern on Wall Street, as strategists at Bank of America (BofA) Securities draw unsettling parallels to the months preceding the 2007-08 financial crisis. A recent Liquid Insight report, published August 14 by strategist Howard Du and his … Read more

More outages, aging infrastructure, and a bicoastal dysfunction: BofA warns America’s grid is 30%-46% ‘beyond its useful life’

The electrical grid is the backbone of modern America. It powers powers everything from homes and hospitals to data centers and electric vehicles. But according to a detailed analysis from Bank of America Institute, the grid is straining under the pressures of surging demand, chronically aging infrastructure, and a growing east-west divide, leaving 31% of … Read more

The gap between higher- and lower-income households is widening as inequality progress since pandemic has ‘gone into reverse,’ BofA economist says

America’s consumer economy showed renewed signs of strength in July, but the gains are not being shared equally. According to Bank of America Institute’s latest report, Consumer Checkpoint: Gains and Gaps, higher-income households are enjoying accelerating wage growth and increased spending, while lower-income households face slowing pay gains and flat expenditure—marking the widest such divide in … Read more

‘Not just a cyclical recovery, but a boom.’ BofA says a ‘key tail risk’ is that the Trump economy will actually start to take off

In a market landscape still fixated on fears of stagflation and modest recoveries, Bank of America is sounding a contrarian—and decidedly bullish—note. According to new note from BofA Research analysts, the next phase for the U.S. economy and equities might not be a routine recovery, but an outright boom. “Today a confluence of factors argue that the … Read more

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