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FOMC & Big Tech Earning: Can Crypto Bounce Back?

The FOMC crypto narrative dominates financial headlines today as traders brace for a one-two punch of macro and tech catalysts that could reshape market sentiment. The Federal Open Market Committee’s rate decision and Chair Jerome Powell’s post-meeting remarks, followed by earnings from Alphabet, Meta, and Microsoft, are creating a perfect storm for volatility.

With Bitcoin hovering near $112,500 and Ethereum struggling to hold above $4,000, investors are asking the key question: Can the crypto market recover if Wall Street and the Fed align on a dovish stance?

Currency

Will the FOMC Pump Risk Assets and Help the Crypto Market Recover?

All signals point to a crucial policy pivot. The FOMC is expected to deliver a 25 basis point rate cut, bringing the federal funds rate to a 3.75-4% range, marking the clearest sign yet that the Fed is transitioning toward easing. Powell’s tone will be pivotal; any hints of future cuts or “soft landing” optimism could act as rocket fuel for risk assets like crypto.


(Source – Polymarket)

Historically,






Bitcoin

Bitcoin





0.80%



rallies 5-8% within 48 hours of rate cuts, while






Ethereum

Ethereum





3.09%



trends to outperform with 6-10% gains, especially when liquidity conditions improve. A dovish press conference could send BTC toward $116,000-$118,000,  aided by ETF inflows and a weaker U.S. dollar (which has already slid to 98.5). Conversely, if Powell strikes a hawkish tone, the market could retrace to $110,000 support level.

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Can Big Tech Earnings Spark a Greater Crypto Recovery Rally?

If the Fed provides the liquidity, big tech may deliver the spark. Tonight’s earnings trifecta from Google, Meta, and Microsoft will heavily influence both equity and digital asset markets. These firms collectively make up nearly 25% of the S&P 500’s market cap, and their performance often mirrors investor risk appetite.


(Source – Yahoo Finance)

A strong earnings beat could lift the Nasdaq and spill into crypto, especially ETH and large-cap alts, given their strong historical correlation with tech stocks. On the other hand, disappointing results could stall momentum, leading to short-term weakness across both markets.

In short, a dovish Fed and bullish earnings could deliver a synchronized FOMC pump, sending BTC, ETH, and other significant assets higher by week’s end.

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FOMC Crypto Decisions, Liquidity Flows, and What Comes Next

Even amid short-term uncertainty, structural strength in the crypto market remains intact. Institutional inflows continue to rise, with over $283M entering crypto ETFs yesterday, and major entities like BitMine reportedly accumulating 77,000 ETH ahead of the meeting. Meanwhile, the total crypto market cap sits near $4Tr, with analysts eyeing a breakout above if macro catalysts align.

However, traders should stay cautious. If inflation data or Powell’s remarks hint at “higher for longer,” the rally could fizzle quickly. With FOMC, crypto volatility is expected, and the next 48 hours could see a sharp swing until the market finds a direction.

For now, crypto bulls are watching for one thing: confirmation that liquidity is returning. If Powell and the big tech both deliver, this could mark the start of the next leg of crypto recovery, a sentiment-driven push that rekindles the bull run narrative across BTC, ETH, and beyond.

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Key Takeaways


  • Volatility about to crank up before the rate cuts announcement.

  • Google, Meta, and Microsoft earnings reports amid the FOMC meeting.
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    Ivan Andonov

    Ivan is born and raised on diet of shopska salad, hard work, and deep-rooted skepticism of banks. With mechanical engineering background. Discovered crypto in 2020 and never looked back. Passionate about blockchain , DeFi and everything related to cryptocurrencie and…
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